Us Economy Recession 2024 Forecast. However, risks like geopolitical tensions and persistently high inflation remain. We see a 25% chance of recession by the first half of 2024, 45% by the second half of 2024 and 60% by the first half of 2025.
According to the estimates compiled by reuters, pimco has put the probability of a u.s. Vulnerability is likely to build gradually: